September Event #1

Dan Rapaport’s clubhouse gossip: Danny Finn’s been hanging around the 14th spot with 22 points, and the whispers in the ropes are that he’s been quietly making a few “looks-like-skill” tweaks—especially with his setup—just to make his ball start the way he wants. Nothing dramatic on the scoreboard… but insiders say he’s been spending a little extra time after the round with one of those coaches who fixate on tempo, and if you’ve seen him walk off the 9th lately, you know he’s not pretending he’s satisfied.

Paddy Power latest odds for the tournament

1. Daire Greene (currently -3): 7/4 — In front and looking solid after 14 holes; that cushion could tighten later, but he’s got the tempo.
2. Dave Flanagan (currently +1): 3/1 — One of the main chasers; needs a couple of bright swings late to flip it into a win.
3. Ciaran Considine (currently +1): 7/2 — Keeping it close; if the front holds, he’ll be the one to pounce.
4. Ciaran Greene (currently +2): 6/1 — Still in the mix and doesn’t need much; a birdie burst would change everything.
5. Ryan Kelly (currently +3): 8/1 — Long-shot energy; can climb quickly but it’s a big ask from here.
6. Brendan Considine (currently +3): 10/1 — Fighting for birdies; could be dangerous if others falter.
7. Alan Dempsey (currently +3): 10/1 — Steady sort; not out of it, but needs a late push to get near the lead.
8. Padraig Burke (currently +4): 16/1 — Outside chance; would rely on a flurry of birdies to bridge the gap.
9. Stevie Geraghty (currently +4): 18/1 — In the pack chasing; still has time to make a move.
10. Mike Rockall (currently +5): 22/1 — Needs things to go very right from here.

How I think it might finish: Front-runner’s advantage says Daire Greene to hold on—expect a tense scramble, but the most likely outcome is Greene managing the closing holes and lifting the trophy.

Note: Danny Finn (14th, 22 points) is fighting—having just taken a double bogey on 15 with a declining trend, he’s probably out of contention for the win from here.

Welp, Danny Finn just rolled in a double bogey on 15… which is impressive, because the only thing moving faster than your ball is my patience. 😭⛳ Now you’re +8 through 15 and still 14th? Mate, the course is begging you to read the green, not just cosplay a sandcastle.

Danny Finn is finding himself in the middle of another chapter of the rivalry—this one tightening as the back end approaches. He’s just finished Hole 15 with a double bogey, and it’s dropped him to 14th with 22 points overall.

The headline right now is momentum: the round trend is declining, which is exactly the kind of swing rivalries feed on—because the man across from him will smell blood in a moment like this. Finn’s task from here is simple in words, brutal in practice: stop the bleeding, fight for recovery shots, and make sure the next stretch doesn’t become a rout.

Paddy Power Tournament Odds (latest)

Given the leaderboard movement and how Daire Greene (-3 after 14) is propping up the front, the market makes him the narrow favourite:

• 1. Daire Greene — 11/4 (best position, momentum at the top)
• 2. Dave Flanagan — 13/2 (needs to defend the pack as he’s slipped to +1)
• 3. Ciaran Considine — 9/1 (still very much in range at +1)
• 4. Ciaran Greene — 12/1 (in the mix at +2 with late birdie upside)
• 5. Alan Dempsey — 16/1 (fighting from +3, but can make a late move)

How I think it’ll finish: With Daire Greene holding the lead heading into the closing stretch, he looks like he’ll see it out—unless the group at +1/+2 starts landing a couple of quick birdies. My call: Daire Greene to win, with Flanagan or Considine to pip for the best of the rest.

Bonus note: Evan O’Keeffe is bogeyed his way on at 15, now 17th and trending down—so it’ll take a strong finish to change the story.

Paddy Power odds (latest market)

Daire Greene (currently -3): 4/6 to win

Dave Flanagan (+1): 9/2

Ciaran Considine (+1): 6/1

Ciaran Greene (+2): 14/1 (big birdie on 15, in 4th and climbing)

Ryan Kelly (+3): 20/1

How we think it finishes: With Ciaran Greene finding a birdie on 15 and showing an improving trend, he’s got a live path into the mix for the front two. That said, Daire’s holding the top spot and Dave/Considine will be the main challengers—watch for another score swing in the closing holes that could decide it.

Ciaran Greene just turned the heat on his rivalry as he sticks a birdie on Hole 15—and in doing so, he’s moved into 4th with 28 points.

The key storyline? Momentum. His round trend is improving, which is exactly the kind of swing that makes rivalries feel personal—because it forces the competition to respond rather than reset.

At this stage, Greene’s taking control of the matchup: when he’s rolling forward like this, he doesn’t just chase scores—he pressures the rival into tougher decisions on every next shot.

Daire Greene just strolled through Hole 14 and walked it in at par—and with that, he stays firmly on top in 1st.

-3 on the day, 31 points in the bag, and the trend? Improving. That’s the sort of steady pressure that wins tournaments, not just holes.

Rivalry Update: Ryan Kelly has answered the pressure on Hole 14 with a birdie, firing him into 4th as the momentum turns in his favor.

The storyline in this matchup is clear: when his rival starts to set the pace, Kelly’s rhythm tends to tighten—and right now, his round trend is improving, which is exactly what you want when you’re trying to swing the rivalry back your way.

With 25 total points and a scoring surge on the cards, this rivalry could flip quickly if Kelly keeps stacking low scores from here.

Oh Tom Curtin doing his best impression of a golfer… after he already missed the shot. Bogey on 14 and still sitting at +7 like it’s a personal brand. 💀

Hey Tom—maybe stop flirting with the hazards and start meeting the fairway.

#Golf #CurtinWhatAreYouDoing #Hole14Disaster

Paddy Power Specials — Latest tournament odds as we roll into the closing stretch (Alan Dempsey currently 6th, +3 after a bogey on 15):

1) Daire Greene — 5/4
In front at -3; if he keeps the ball in play he’s got the look of a closer rather than a slider.

2) Ciaran Considine — 13/2
Late momentum: he’s been climbing after the turn—just needs fewer “scratchy” swings down the last few holes.

3) Dave Flanagan — 9/1
Stays near the top at +1; he’s the sort to nick a birdie on a pressured back nine.

4) Alan Dempsey — 10/1
Bogey on 15 and the trend’s declining, but he’s still within a couple of scores of the front—one tidy stretch could flip this.

5) Brendan Considine — 12/1
Also sat at +3; if the putter stays warm he’s dangerous on shorter pin positions.

6) Ciaran Greene — 14/1
Hanging around at +3; needs a late burst to get over the line.

How I think it finishes: With Greene leading at -3, this looks like a Greene win unless someone strings together two birdies late. My call? Daire Greene to hold on, with Ciaran Considine chasing hard for second.

Paddy Power Tournament Odds (Latest)

1st — Daire Greene: 13/8 (-3 after 13)

2nd — Dave Flanagan: 7/2 (+1 after 15)

3rd — Ciaran Considine: 4/1 (+1 after 16)

4th — Alan Dempsey: 6/1 (+2 after 14)

Each-way / Outside fire — Ciaran Greene: 12/1 (+3 after 14)   Brendan Considine: 12/1 (+3 after 15)   Ryan Kelly: 16/1 (+4 after 13)   Padraig Burke: 18/1 (+4 after 16)

Stevie Geraghty watch: He’s up to 9th on +4 after holing a birdie at 15. With the round trend declining, he’s got a decent platform to squeeze into the top pack if he keeps numbers under pressure late doors.

How it might finish: I still make Daire Greene the man to nick it after that early engine-room scoring at -3 through 13. But with the leaders bunched and others still with holes left, we could see the last stretch tighten up fast—think Greene to hold on, Flanagan or Considine to chase.

Rivalry Watch: Stevie Geraghty is turning heads again, and the momentum in this matchup is all about control. After banking a birdie on Hole 15, Stevie moves into 9th with 26 points, and the round trend is still declining—which is exactly where this rivalry tightens up.

When Stevie’s pushing with a clean hit and a calm read, the pressure transfers to the opponent: one slip and the lead swings fast. Right now, with a birdie under his belt and the numbers trending the right way, it looks like Stevie’s rivalry form is peaking at just the right time.

Paddy Power Latest Odds — Tournament Winner

Daire Greene (leader on -3 after 13): 4/7

Ciaran Considine (+1 after 16): 3/1

Dave Flanagan (+1 after 15): 9/2

Alan Dempsey (+2 after 14): 6/1

Brendan Considine (+3 after 15): 10/1

Ciaran Greene (+3 after 14): 12/1

Padraig Burke (+4 after 16): 18/1

Ryan Kelly (+4 after 13): 20/1

Stevie Geraghty (+5 after 14): 25/1

Mike Rockall (+5 after 15): 28/1

Quick take: Daire Greene looks the class of the field if he keeps putting a lid on the late holes—he’s banker material around here. I’ve got Ciaran Considine and Dave Flanagan sniffing danger; with the turn still in play, any slip up from the front-runner could spark a late charge.

How it might finish: Greene to hold on for the win, with Considine and Flanagan likely chasing in that order.

OH TONY McHale 😤… on +6 through 15 like it’s a lifestyle choice. That “declining trend” is giving “dropping confidence, not ball” 🥴. Get it together—at this rate you’ll finish 11th in your own nightmares. #Golf #InTheRough

Dan Rapaport here—alright, here’s the whisper from the ropes: Tony McHale is sitting 12th with 22 points, and the chatter is that his putter’s been getting a little extra attention in the parking-lot practice area. Word is he’s been rolling “just to stay calm,” but the guys on the bag cart say it’s more than that—apparently he’s tweaked his read speed again, the kind of fix that doesn’t show up until the greens start talking back. If he goes low on the next couple holes, watch for the confidence spike… and yes, somebody’s already heard him say, “I finally know what it’s doing.”

Oh Tony McHale, my guy is speedrunning the double bogey DLC. 😮‍💨 Hole 14: dbl bogey… and he’s still out here adding points like it’s a hobby. +6 through 14 and round’s declining? Love the confidence though—must be on sale with the irons.

Tony McHale is trying to claw his way back in the rivalry spotlight as the round heads toward the stretch—he’s just completed Hole 14 with a double bogey and sits 12th on 22 points.

That snap in form puts pressure on the rivalry narrative: the momentum has been declining, and this is exactly the kind of swing where his rival can start dictating the pace—one careless hole can turn a chase into a gap you have to fight all the way back.

Right now, McHale needs a quick reset after the dbl bogey on 14 to keep the rivalry competitive in the back half.

Now that’s more like it—Daire Greene still leads at -3 after 13, but the chasing pack has finally started to make moves in earnest. The big leap is Ciaran Considine, up to +1 after 16—and with Brendan Considine climbing to +3 after 15, the two Considines are turning that pursuit into a bit of a push-and-pull. Then you’ve got Dave Flanagan edging closer, now at +1 after 15, which is a serious threat if he keeps the putts rolling.

Down the leaderboard, the numbers are still tightly packed: Alan Dempsey stays at +2 after 13, Ciaran Greene sits at +3 after 14, and the +4 group—Padraig Burke now at +4 after 16, along with Tony McHale, Ryan Kelly and Stevie Geraghty all at +4 after 13—sets up a proper scramble. When you’ve got the lead held but three or four men bunched at the same score, you’re one swing away from a new leader and a whole different complexion on the final holes.

Alrighty folks, we’ve been watching this mob closely over the last two holes, and the scoreboard’s telling a pretty clear story. Ciaran Considine steadied himself at 15 for a bogey (+1) and then held it together at 16 with par—still sitting at +1. Padraig Burke, though, didn’t get the break at 15 with a double bogey (+4) and couldn’t climb much at 16, returning par to remain at +4. Eoghan Considine was under pressure too—another double bogey at 15 and then a bogey at 16 leaving him marooned at +10, while Kevin Coen is the only one smiling; he birdied 15 and then stayed nice and calm with par at 16, holding at +6. There’s work to do across the board, but momentum’s definitely got Kevin and Ciaran trending the right way.