September Event #2

Paddy Power Golf Odds (Latest) — With the action at/around the 15th, the market is starting to price in a tight finish at the top.

1) Alan Dempsey — 10/11 to win
Lead at +2: solid cushion, and he looks the most controlled of the bunch.

2) Mike Rockall — 11/4 to win
Slightly worse overall than Alan but climbing fast—watch for late momentum.

3) Liam Rockall — 7/2 to win
+5 showing some volatility; if he tidies his finishing holes, he’s right there.

4) Tony McHale — 7/1 to win
Stuck at +5 after 16—needs something special, but you don’t discount him.

5) Oisin O'Malley — 10/1 to win
Also +5: could run into form, but the leaders have the edge.

Danny Finn — 28/1 to win
Currently 7th at +6 and trending the wrong way. Par on 15 helps—he’ll need a couple of big swings from here.

How we think it ends: This sets up for a Alan Dempsey win on the back of steadier scoring, with Mike Rockall the main threat as we close out. Expect the final leaderboard to be clustered around +2 to +5.

🏌️ Paddy Power Tournament Odds (Latest)

1st place contender: Alan Dempsey (currently +2 after 15) — 4/6

Big threat: Mike Rockall (currently +3 after 17) — 7/4

Next in the mix: Liam Rockall (currently +5 after 13) — 6/1

Outside bets: Tony McHale (currently +5 after 16) — 8/1
Oisin O'Malley (currently +5 after 13) — 10/1
Evan O'Keeffe (currently +6 after 13) — 12/1

Short commentary: Alan’s doing the job at the top—he’s improving and holding his nerve after 15, so it’s hard to look past him. But with a couple of +5s sitting there early in their rounds (holes 13), there’s plenty of late pressure potential. If Dempsey keeps finding fairways and avoids the big mistakes, we’ll likely see him hold on for the win, with Mike Rockall the main man to chase him home.

How it might finish: Alan Dempsey to win, with Mike Rockall and Liam Rockall in the frame for the places.

And there we go—Alan Dempsey marches straight through Hole 15 on par, keeping his momentum absolutely crisp.

He’s sat 1st right now with 28 total points, and the round’s trending the right way—improving with every measured swing.

Nice, steady golf under pressure. This is the sort of hole where you don’t need fireworks—you just need control.

Paddy Power Latest Tournament Odds (after play is at/around the front positions listed)

1/1 Alan Dempsey (top of the board on +2 after 14)

2/1 Mike Rockall (lurking on +3 after 17, just needs to steady the ship)

5/1 Liam Rockall (also +5 after 13—dangerous if that improving form holds)

6/1 Tony McHale (equal +5 after 16, staying in touch and built for a late push)

7/1 Oisin O'Malley (currently +5 after 13—one of the closer challengers)

What it might finish like: With Dempsey edging the lead, we’d expect him to hold on—but Rockall’s been making up ground, so the last stretch could get tasty. Prediction: Dempsey to win, with Rockall and Liam Rockall chasing hard.

Padraig Burke update: Birdie on 15 to move into 12th on 21 points with an improving trend—good signs for a late climb up the board.

Rivalry Watch: Padraig Burke is heating up on the back nine—he just nabbed a birdie on Hole 15 to move into 11th with 21 points.

What’s key in this duel? Burke’s round trend is improving, and that’s exactly how rivalries swing—one sharp stretch, and suddenly the matchup feels like a test of nerves instead of pure distance.

Keep an eye on the next few holes: this is where Burke typically separates himself, and where his rival has to respond quickly to avoid falling out of range.

Alright folks, listen up—Daire Greene is sitting pretty 14th with 14 points, and here’s the little insider tidbit doing the rounds: the camp’s been quietly tweaking his pre-shot routine on the back nine—extra waggle, one more breath, the whole thing—because word is his short-game feels a touch “too casual” when the crowds get loud. Nothing dramatic, no drama—more like he’s trying to lock in those inside-20 yarders that can swing a card before anyone realizes it. If he keeps that calming tempo, you could see him climb faster than people expect.

⚽ Paddy Power Market Update — Live tournament odds (as it stands)

Top-10 leaders (by current points):

• Alan Dempsey (+2 after 14) — 6/1 to win
• Mike Rockall (+3 after 17) — 8/1
• Oisin O'Malley (+5 after 13) — 10/1
• Tony McHale (+5 after 16) — 10/1
• Liam Rockall (+5 after 13) — 12/1
• Danny Finn (+6 after 14) — 14/1
• Dave Flanagan (+6 after 17) — 16/1
• Evan O'Keeffe (+6 after 13) — 16/1
• Ciaran Considine (+7 after 16) — 20/1
• Brendan Considine (+8 after 16) — 28/1

Big picture: Dempsey’s sitting pretty at the summit, but the scores are tight enough that a couple of swings on the back nine could shuffle everything. Rockall’s already through 17 and still holding it together—he’s the sort to nick a win if the finish is steady.

How it could finish: I fancy Alan Dempsey to hang on, with Mike Rockall and Oisin O’Malley the main challengers.

And for Daire Greene (14th): with a declining round and a double bogey on 15, he’ll need a clean run from here to get back into anything like contention.

Oi Daire Greene, mate… on +16 through 15 and you still acting like the greens owes you money. That double bogey on 15 was less “golf swing” and more “why not just juggle balls.” 🤡⛳️

Good news though: you’re 14th… so at least the leaderboard can finally relax.

Daire Greene is right in the thick of this rivalry right now—after all, when the stakes rise, his game has a way of answering back… sometimes with drama.

On Hole 15, he carded a double bogey, dropping him back into the mix at 14th with 14 total points. The round trend is declining, and that’s where the head-to-head narrative starts to bite: in this matchup, the rival who stays composed when momentum flips usually gets the edge.

Still, don’t count him out—this rivalry has been defined by swings, and Daire’s got the finishing holes to respond.

Rivalry update: Tony McHale is starting to put real daylight between himself and the chasers in this head-to-head battle. After birdie on Hole 16, McHale moved to 4th with 27 points, and the round trend is still declining—exactly the kind of momentum that tends to swing rivalries from “close” to “control.”

With that birdie, McHale’s putting pressure is ramping up: when he’s going downhill and finding strokes on the right holes, his opponents have to chase—usually with riskier swings.

Dan Rapaport here: I’m hearing Stevie Geraghty is a little too focused on the “safe play” plan right now—like, the kind that gets talked about in the car rides but doesn’t always survive the first bad hop. Word is he’s been working overtime on his tempo with his mates, trying to stop the clubhead from rushing when the pressure creeps in, and it’s paying off… sort of. He’s sitting 16th with 7 points, and the chatter is that if he can just commit to one aggressive line early, he’ll stop teeing up like he’s already apologizing to the scoring chart.

Stevie Geraghty on 16th and still finding new ways to turn golf into interpretive dance… that scratched score is basically “I quit” in cursive. 🥲

Somebody check if he’s playing on course mode or chaos mode… because the only thing steady today is the decline. 📉

Rivalry Update: Stevie Geraghty is right in the mix on Hole 16, but it’s not the kind of swing that fuels momentum—he’s scratched there and sits at 16th with 7 points.

It’s the sort of moment that often defines rivalries: one player fights through the momentum, the other has to regroup. With the round trend still declining, Geraghty will need to tighten up quickly to keep the pressure on his main rival as the back nine closes out.

Dan Rapaport here—and I’m hearing whispers that Ciaran Greene (currently 15th with 14 points) has been riding a little “equipment roulette.” Word in the clubhouse is he’s been tinkering with his setup between holes—tweaking the grip feel and even swapping alignment aids when no one’s looking—because his short game has been giving him just enough trouble to keep him on edge. The funny part? When he’s locked in, he’s smooth as butter… and when it’s off, he turns into a maniac for two swings straight. Classic Greene—talent with a side of superstition.

Ciaran Greene on hole 17 throws in a scratched like it’s a surprise party… for his own swing! 😂

Down goes the momentum: you were 15th, now at +20 and “declining” like a golf lawn after weekend mowing. Legend. ⛳️🔥

#GreeneDoingGreens #Hole17SaidNo

Ciaran Greene has hit a rough patch on the back nine—just scratched on Hole 17 and now sits 15th with 14 points.

In this rivalry, the tone is familiar: when Greene slips, it tends to open the door for his opponent to seize momentum. With the round trend declining, the pressure ramps up heading to the closing holes—this is exactly where rivals can turn small mistakes into big point swings.

Watch how Greene responds: does he tighten up and climb the leaderboard, or does this scratch become the moment the rivalry tilts further?

Well done, Mike Rockall—and after a solid fight to get it back under control, he lands bogey on 17. That’s +3 overall now, and he’s still in a brilliant spot, sitting 2nd with 31 points.

It’s not the flagstick-heroics we like, but in these moments you’ve got to manage the damage, keep the rhythm, and let the last holes sort themselves out. The good news? You can feel the round’s going the right way—the trend’s declining, so if he plays smart from here, he’s right in the mix.

Alright, quick clubhouse whisper from the Dan Rapaport desk: Kevin Coen is sitting pretty 14th with 18 points, but don’t be shocked if you hear some late-week “course tweak” chatter—word is he’s been quietly working on a couple of one-off tee-to-fairway adjustments, trying to keep himself out of the kind of angles that bite on these greens. Nothing dramatic, but the timing’s telling: he’s been unusually focused on the practice areas right after the leaders go in, like he knows exactly which hole will turn into the daily trap.

KEVIN COEN ONCE AGAIN SAID “SCRATCH THAT” ON HOLE 17 😭🏌️‍♂️ From 14th to nowhere fast—this round’s got more decline than my hope. +16 through 17 and the only thing moving is your confidence… straight into the sand. 😤

Rivalry Update: Kevin Coen has been in the thick of the fight—right now sitting 14th with 18 points—but the momentum just took a sharp turn after he scratched on Hole 17. That stumble in the late going is the kind of swing rivals remember, because it can flip a tight matchup from chasing to defending.

With the round trend declining, Coen’s competitive edge will be tested: the question for the rivalry is whether he can rebound quickly and turn frustration into a statement finish on the final stretch.